Blog rapidshare hurricane

E Houma and decided to strap the remote cam I had to a pole along side the mobile homes. Not only was I expecting these homes to get destroyed but the surge was supposed to come up to about the height of the cam around 10ft.

As it turned out the power pole I attached the cam to got blown over in the wind. As you can see in this video the 3rd mobile home from the camera which was blocked by the others got blown to pieces. Towards the end of the video I drive through the impacted areas showing the heavy damage. Each year following the season the National Hurricane Center will release final reports on each system. If you live in S. E Louisiana where Hurricane Ida hit, the season was devastating and it will take some of these areas years to recover.

Jim Williams. After a very active Atlantic hurricane season I see no reason that we should not see another very active season. I am calling for 20 to 24 named storms but not as many named storms impacting the U. S mainland coast as last year. As I say every year. A city or island could be hit very hard that I do not predict, everyone in the basin should be prepared as if you are in my top 5. In we saw several hurricanes impact Louisiana with late season Zeta hitting my 8 Grand Isle, LA as a major hurricane.

So before each season usually starting in April I create this chart to place my top 20 locations. The top 20 are chosen based on being statistically due or overdue for a named storm.

Other locations are chosen based on historically being hit in my chosen ENSO Analog years or based on trends. Now once the top 20 are graphed the pecking order is based on the number of columns each location wins based on the 8 criteria at the top.

As you can see Wilmington, NC won the most with 3 highlighted boxes in yellow. That was the highest percentage of all the cities in the top 20 that was calculated. Another important column on the chart above is what city got hit most in the past ENSO years that I think most closely match up going into this hurricane season.

My ENSO analog years are based on being around Neutral at the height of the season plus matching what has happened the past several months. My matching years are a total of 11 used. The other cities that did not win any columns were ranked based on whoever has the highest average number of named storms when they get impacted. Based on my prediction of 22 plus named storm the higher the average the higher that city or island is ranked.

The method to this madness is more than simply making a circle on a map especially a large one like many do. If you draw a circle from the Carolinas to Maine that means like 80 million are left wondering so I like to narrow it down. So without further ado here is my top 20 for the Atlantic hurricane season.

As always I like to pick a track I think may happen and a few times my tracks have been almost identical to what ended up happening. For this year I have a real concern for the big bend, Florida area with a track across from the Gulf in to the Atlantic. Any way that wraps it up thank you all again for the donations make your plans now and good luck this hurricane season. As we approach another hurricane season all indications are that it will be a busy one. I am predicting between 18 and 20 named storms in the Atlantic basin.

Below is a chart that I use every year before the season starts to calculate my top As you can see the highlighted yellow boxes indicates 1 Cancun, Mexico has data in the most columns 5 of 8 and therefore wins. Based on all my number crunching here is my top 20 1 most vulnerable to 20 moderate.

Of course there will be far more tracks than the two above but I do expect quite a few re curvatures systems turning north before hitting Bahamas. I must stress that if your city or island is not on this list do not let your guard down.

In any given season anyone can be affected but if your in my top 5 batten down the hatches be ready. As the Atlantic Hurricane Season comes to a close three things come to mind. The season ended with 18 named storms with the average since at 14 named storms would make this season seem busy. Had it not been for hurricane Dorian hitting the N. W Bahamas as a category 5 this season would have been considered a bust relative to the preseason hype.

Of course Dorian did impact the outer banks of North Carolina with surge flooding but as a weakening system with the highest winds remaining offshore. E Central Louisiana coastline but with mainly tropical storm force winds. There were others in the basin as well including 3 systems impacting the Azores islands in the N.

E Atlantic but mainly minimal impacts. What is interesting is this map I created back in showing who gets impacted during certain numbers of named storms.

Notice the 18 plus in red areas for the U. S were both impacted this season. On June 1st of this year I made my annual hurricane season landfall predictions which was distributed to my list of people that donate to hurricanecity. More and more people were starting to pay attention with upwards of 20, views on the videos alone. As the years have passed and mainly due to social networking free abundant info donations have fallen flat at HC with many of the same people donating on an annual basis.

For that reason I decided to only distribute this info to these people in a private email along with updates throughout the season. As for my predictions this was by far my best season ever with not just my top 5 which I like to focus on but my top 9 were impacted. After each season I update my predictions page so you can keep a running tab of what I said vs what actually happened.

Will we see more cat 5s in ? Please follow me on twitter thank you….. By: Jim Williams Oct, I took an interest in hurricanes in the mid s and since then have been in or near the core of 10 hurricanes in which half were major. Those were Hurricanes Andrew cat 5 to my south in , Jeanne cat 3 just to my north I was in core, Matthew cat 3 just to my east in New Smyrna bch,FL in western eye wall , Irma cat just to my S.

W and Hurricane Michael this year where I was in the eye. On a side note hurricane Wilma passed right over my home with the eye passing over as a cat 2 after hitting S. The reason for pointing these out is to let you know I have been in high winds before and that may have helped prepared me for what I was about to go through. Since we have provided live hurricane coverage at hurricanecity. S Mainland here is our list of video archives. We have always tried to show live webcams,chaser video,local news and stats as a hurricane is hitting.

This process has become increasingly difficult as the years have passed due to copyright concerns, loss of internet streams, cams being taken offline and simply not very good reporting as hurricanes hit. They often show their main stars leaning in to the wind or getting blown over which can happen in category one conditions when the hurricane itself is major. Quite a few storm chasers used to participate in our coverage but have chosen to sell their video rather than share it live.

Earlier this season Hurricane Florence was headed towards North Carolina and I wanted in the worst way to be there covering it as it moved onshore. I lost a close friend and had to attend her funeral the weekend prior to Florence hitting. The time left over would not have allowed me to set up properly in time to do an effective job covering Florence. So now that you know why I went in to the teeth of the tiger ,let me tell you what is was like the day before Michael hit.

At this time winds along the coast were brisk but probably not much over tropical storm force minimum of 40 mph. While passing through Apalachicola I noticed some small vessels and docks sunk beneath the rising tides.

Traffic was light mainly outgoing but hwy 98 was passable late in the afternoon in both directions. It did not appear at this time that any homes were being inundated even if they were they were on stilts. Honestly the entire big bend Florida area scares the hell out of me when it comes to water inundation as low lying and vulnerable to huge surge.

Even fuel was scarce most stations with yellow caution tape on pumps as out of gas. I found one isolated gas station south of Panacea that still had fuel so I topped off the truck which ended up being my smartest decision the entire trip.

As I was leaving Apalachicola it was as if I was saying goodbye to all of those structures along the coast but luckily most survived due to Michael making landfall further north. With a full tank of gas which is enough to get miles I continued west towards Port Saint Joe. I had tentative plans to stay at the mainstay suites in Port St Joe but after viewing the property it appeared there were too many trees and the hotel was isolated from the downtown areas so I decided to head north.

Each of these towns leading towards Panama City are separated by long stretches of wooded areas along hwy As I entered Mexico beach from the south the tree canopy was suddenly absent with long stretches of exposed beaches. Most structures on the coast looked well built even though they were mostly wood framed.

Some condos looked to be CBS but again with a potential major hurricane on the way the place did not look safe at all. If my truck were to survive, would I want to sleep in it for three days? This ended up being ground zero right front quadrant of Hurricane Michael and every conceivable option for lodging ended up being destroyed.

At the north end of Mexico Beach I was going to set my remote camera up on a canal facing the Gulf which in hind site would have been epic and could have caught the southern portion of the eye but retrieval would be difficult getting back in to this area from the north. After deciding Mexico beach was probably not going to be an option I headed further north through another stretch of woods several miles to reach Tyndall Air Force Base.

Several large guarded entry ways for military personnel only stretch all the way north to the Dupont bridge leading in to Callaway. Again this area very quiet as the bases were probably left with skeleton crews. There are no hotels in this stretch of hwy 98 which forced me in to Callaway but not before I found a good position to mount the remote camera where I could retrieve it before leaving. After driving north on Tyndall blvd it appeared the closest hotel to the coast was the Comfort Suites.

I investigated several other hotels just to the north but they did not seem as sturdy as the comfort suites and I ended up being right as they sustained significant damage in comparison.

The photo below shows surrounding heavy damage but the hotel lost just shingles, some windows and part of the front canopy. The striking thing to me was that no one seemed real concerned about was was coming,even the clerk at the front desk did not seem to be concerned.

I asked about a generator,are the windows thick? Starting from the beginning of the video the threat is clear even inland is in danger. I work outdoors in harsh conditions year round and have trained myself not to eat too much food or drink too much water as it will come back to haunt you in extreme conditions as bathrooms are not an option. This was yet another good choice as food was scarce in the aftermath along with power or running water.

I waited until just before noon for the core to arrive which is a tradition at hurricanecity. Before leaving I made one final call to my co host Bill Phillips questioning if I should head out at all considering we now have a borderline category 5 on our doorstep.

We talked about maybe staying under the overhang in front of the hotel but after driving underneath realized the view was not very good. Furthermore the wind would have been pushing straight in on the overhang putting the truck at risk of loosing the front window as the winds would now be East and N. E rather than the anticipated southerly winds. I decided at that moment to head south on Tyndall blvd in order find an open lot to ride it out.

Just about a half mile south of the hotel I find a parking lot with a Texaco station which believe it or not was already mangled from either strong straight line winds or a tornado. As the winds at this point were mainly out of the east probably cat one, I decided to face the Texaco station west with the back of the truck in to the wind to be shielded by my lexan protective glass. As time went by the barometric pressure was dropping like a rock and the winds were picking up gusting to mph.

As the pressure dropped to around mb all hell broke loose with he winds accelerating in what I like to call jet airplane mode. This lasted for maybe 15 minutes but it seemed like an hour to me. At one point just before the eye arrives the winds are so strong no matter what direction I faced the air was filled with debris as if a tornado was hitting seen in short version below. Meanwhile the remote camera on the east bay was getting annihilated.

The clips in the videos speaks for the violent conditions the camera was enduring which operated through most of the storm.

White out conditions pretty much prevented any real good video so next time it will be mounted closer to nearby objects. Finally the eye arrives and I get out to survey the damage est pressure mb as my last fix was I was too involved with damage assessment to check it when the calmest period was over me so I used nearby chasers readings. The truck took a hard hit as the paint peeled off the rear bumper with several dings all over the truck but the worst was yet to come eye survey below.

As the back side of Michael was approaching I decided to head further south to another open parking lot away from power lines,trees and poles as I knew the winds would be shifting out of the North. Just about every store front window protected by plywood was blown out and the worst was yet to come.

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